When people learn that I’m a futurist, they often assume my work involves precisely predicting what comes next, from election results and new technologies to market crashes and natural disasters. To ...
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The limits of prediction: Math vs reality

Can physics predict the future? This video explores the fundamental predictability of the universe through the lens of Newton's laws and the thought experiment of Laplace's demon. It delves into chaos ...
Every three months, participants in the Metaculus forecasting cup try to predict the future for a prize pot of about $5,000. Metaculus, a forecasting platform, poses questions of geopolitical ...
Add Yahoo as a preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. Illustration by Lisa Pringle This week's question comes from Morning Brief reader Eric, who asks, "I've heard that meteorologists ...
Add Yahoo as a preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. Forecasters estimate the probabilities of the events occurring—a more informative guess than a simple “yes” or “no”—weeks to ...